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Australian Market Report - Australian shares up on hopes of US-China trade detente
Morningstar with AAP
Monday 27 October 2025

Australia's share market has started the week higher after reports of China and the US being on the verge of a trade deal.

The S&P/ASX200 gained 36.6 points on Monday, up 0.41 per cent, to 9,055.6, as the broader All Ordinaries rose 34.7 points, or 0.37 per cent, to 9,351.9.

The gains come after US inflation data all but locked-in an interest rate cut, and on reports the US and China have reached a deal framework to settle trade tensions around rare earths and technology exports.

After a strong start, the local bourse handed back roughly 40 per cent of its early gains by the close, IG markets analyst Tony Sycamore said.

"Not entirely the most convincing performance I've seen given the news we have out there, which does obviously provide a further backdrop for risk assets and potentially ease concerns around a slowdown into year end," he told AAP.

Local uncertainties, like Wednesday's all-important quarterly inflation print and its impact on the Reserve Bank's road ahead for interest rates, could have contributed to the session's hesitant turn, Mr Sycamore said.

"We need to get some of the unknowns out of the way, specifically with regards to the inflation data here in Australia," he said.

Eight of 11 local sectors ended higher, with oil prices supporting energy stocks and interest rate-sensitive segments like financials, discretionary spending and IT bolstering the bourse elsewhere.

Each of the big four banks rose at least 0.6 per cent, led by CBA as its shares closed at $171.67.

Miners were mixed as the raw materials sector ground 0.4 per cent higher, boosted by broad lifts in iron ore giants Fortescue (+1.3 per cent), Rio Tinto (+1.3 per cent) and BHP (+0.7 per cent).

Copper producers also performed well, with Capstone posting gains and Sandfire Resources rallying 2.8 per cent to above $16 after a strong September quarter update.

Gold miners were mixed as the precious metal continued to ease from its recent dizzying heights to trade at $US4,080 ($A6,243) an ounce, as risk-on sentiment chased away safe-haven buyers.

Evolution and Northern Star each traded more than one per cent higher, but Newmont (-3.1 per cent) and Ramelius (-5.7 per cent) sold off as investors digested their recent quarterly updates.

Iluka Resources was the top-200's worst performer, down 6.9 per cent. The mineral sands producer is now trading lower than before last week's rare earths deal between Australia and the US, which prompted a buying spree across the segment.

Energy stocks gained 0.8 per cent on Monday, as oil and natural gas prices edged higher during the session and coal miners also caught a bid.

The more defensive healthcare sector was the worst performing segment, falling 0.6 per cent as investors sought growth elsewhere. Resmed and Fisher and Paykel Healthcare were each faded by roughly two per cent.

The Australian dollar is buying 65.38 US cents, up from 64.99 US cents on Friday at 5pm.

The Aussie lifted on US-China trade deal hopes and as bets on an interest rate cut at the Reserve Bank's November meeting eased, with rates markets now pricing a 64 per cent chance of a reduction.

Looking ahead, blood plasma giant CSL, Omni Bridgeway and Credit Corp will hold annual general meetings on Tuesday, with Ansell, Woolworths, Whitehaven Coal, Wesfarmers and JB Hi-Fi to follow later in the week.

Wednesday's quarterly consumer price index is the week's macroeconomic "main event", with consensus expectations for increases across all measures, including the Reserve Bank's preferred trimmed mean figure, tipped to rise 0.2 per cent over the quarter.

ON THE ASX:

The S&P/ASX200 rose 36.6 points, or 0.41 per cent, to 9,055.6

The broader All Ordinaries gained 34.7 points, or 0.37 per cent, to 9,351.9

The NZX 50 added 14.49 points (0.11%) to 13,391.59 while the Nikkei gained 1212.67 points (2.40%) at the time of writing, to be closed at 50,512.32

Companies Holding Annual General Meeting (ASX 300):

Fleetwood Limited

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